Quarterly · First-party factory data

The China Manufacturing Cost Index

What a factory owner actually pays for mold steel, machine time and casting metal — published every quarter from our own procurement records. Not estimates. Not surveys. Not broker quotes.

Published by Mountain Xie · SunOn Manufacturer Group, Pearl River Delta

Why this index exists

Molten aluminium at the furnace
Metal price is the line that moves most, and moves first
Raw castings with gates still attached
What you pay for before any machining happens
Mould steel stock marked with grade
P20, 718H, S136 — the grades behind every tooling quote

Every hardware founder who receives a quote from China faces the same problem: there is no reference price. You cannot tell whether $34,000 for a tool is fair, whether a 3% material increase is real, or whether "P20 steel" means the same thing in two different quotes.

Published market data on Chinese manufacturing is almost always one of three things: a broker's price list, a survey of self-reported figures, or an estimate derived from commodity indices. None of them is what a factory actually pays.

This index is the fourth thing. These are our own procurement records — the prices SunOn Manufacturer Group pays for steel, metal and machine time, published once a quarter so that founders have something to check a quote against.

Current edition

Current · Q3 2026

SunOn Manufacturing Cost Index Q3 2026

Domestic mold steel down as much as 15%. Aluminum ADC12 up 3%. The zinc–aluminum price gap has nearly closed. Domestic P20 now costs under one-sixth of imported ASSAB S136.

Read the full Q3 index →

Next · Q4 2026

Publishing October 2026

Fresh procurement numbers for mold steel, machine rates and casting metal, plus the quarter-over-quarter movement and what it means for anyone being quoted right now.

Get it by email when it publishes →

Q3 2026 headline numbers

Full context, interpretation and the question to ask your supplier are in the Q3 edition. The figures themselves:

Mold steel (per kg)

GradeQ3 2026vs Q2USD equivalent
P20, domestic¥5.9/kg↓ ~15%~$0.82/kg
718H, domestic¥14–18/kg↓ ~8%~$1.95–2.50/kg
S136, domestic¥25–32/kg↓ ~5%~$3.50–4.45/kg
ASSAB 718 (imported)¥35–45/kgflat~$4.85–6.25/kg
ASSAB S136 (imported)¥60–80/kgflat~$8.35–11.10/kg

Injection molding machine rates

Press sizeQ3 2026USD equivalent
≤160T¥80–120/hour~$11–17/hr
160–400T¥120–300/hour~$17–42/hr
>400T¥300–500+/hour~$42–69+/hr

Die casting metal (per ton)

MaterialQ3 2026vs Q2USD equivalent
Aluminum ADC12 ingot¥23,900–24,100/ton↑ ~3%~$3,320–3,350/ton
Zinc Zamak 3 ingot¥24,905–25,005/ton↓ ~1%~$3,460–3,470/ton
Zamak 3 processing fee¥600–700/tonflat~$83–97/ton
Zamak 5 processing fee¥1,300–1,400/tonflat~$180–195/ton

How to use these numbers

They are inputs, not quotes. Steel is one line in a tool cost — machining, polishing, design and trials usually dominate. Metal is one line in a part price alongside cycle time, cavitation, scrap rate and secondary operations. A quote that doesn't move when steel falls 15% isn't automatically wrong.

Use them to ask better questions. "Which tier of P20?" is a question that changes a quote. "Domestic or imported S136?" is another. When a supplier can answer specifically, you're dealing with someone who knows their own cost structure.

Watch the direction, not just the level. The quarter-over-quarter movement tells you whether a price increase you've just been handed reflects the market or reflects the supplier.

About the source

The figures come from SunOn Manufacturer Group — mold making, injection molding and die casting, in the Pearl River Delta. Mountain Xie owns the group. He has spent 30+ years in hardware design and manufacturing management for century-old European and American brands: 366 projects, 50 million units, 60+ countries.

He publishes this index because the information asymmetry between Western founders and Chinese factories is the single most expensive thing in early hardware manufacturing — and most of it is preventable with a reference price.

Get the Q4 index when it publishes

The next edition lands in October with fresh procurement numbers. It goes to the monthly manufacturing brief first — along with the free Starter Kit, which includes how to read a mold quote line by line.

Get the free Starter Kit →

Or bring a quote you can't read to a free 15-minute call.