Quarterly · First-party factory data

The China Manufacturing Cost Index

What a factory owner actually pays for mold steel, machine time and casting metal — published every quarter from our own procurement records. Not estimates. Not surveys. Not broker quotes.

Published by Mountain Xie · SunOn Manufacturer Group, Pearl River Delta

Why this index exists

Every hardware founder who receives a quote from China faces the same problem: there is no reference price. You cannot tell whether $34,000 for a tool is fair, whether a 3% material increase is real, or whether "P20 steel" means the same thing in two different quotes.

Published market data on Chinese manufacturing is almost always one of three things: a broker's price list, a survey of self-reported figures, or an estimate derived from commodity indices. None of them is what a factory actually pays.

This index is the fourth thing. These are our own procurement records — the prices SunOn Manufacturer Group pays for steel, metal and machine time, published once a quarter so that founders have something to check a quote against.

Current edition

Current · Q3 2026

SunOn Manufacturing Cost Index Q3 2026

Domestic mold steel down as much as 15%. Aluminum ADC12 up 3%. The zinc–aluminum price gap has nearly closed. Domestic P20 now costs under one-sixth of imported ASSAB S136.

Read the full Q3 index →

Next · Q4 2026

Publishing October 2026

Fresh procurement numbers for mold steel, machine rates and casting metal, plus the quarter-over-quarter movement and what it means for anyone being quoted right now.

Get it by email when it publishes →

Q3 2026 headline numbers

Full context, interpretation and the question to ask your supplier are in the Q3 edition. The figures themselves:

Mold steel (per kg)

GradeQ3 2026vs Q2USD equivalent
P20, domestic¥5.9/kg↓ ~15%~$0.82/kg
718H, domestic¥14–18/kg↓ ~8%~$1.95–2.50/kg
S136, domestic¥25–32/kg↓ ~5%~$3.50–4.45/kg
ASSAB 718 (imported)¥35–45/kgflat~$4.85–6.25/kg
ASSAB S136 (imported)¥60–80/kgflat~$8.35–11.10/kg

Injection molding machine rates

Press sizeQ3 2026USD equivalent
≤160T¥80–120/hour~$11–17/hr
160–400T¥120–300/hour~$17–42/hr
>400T¥300–500+/hour~$42–69+/hr

Die casting metal (per ton)

MaterialQ3 2026vs Q2USD equivalent
Aluminum ADC12 ingot¥23,900–24,100/ton↑ ~3%~$3,320–3,350/ton
Zinc Zamak 3 ingot¥24,905–25,005/ton↓ ~1%~$3,460–3,470/ton
Zamak 3 processing fee¥600–700/tonflat~$83–97/ton
Zamak 5 processing fee¥1,300–1,400/tonflat~$180–195/ton

How to use these numbers

They are inputs, not quotes. Steel is one line in a tool cost — machining, polishing, design and trials usually dominate. Metal is one line in a part price alongside cycle time, cavitation, scrap rate and secondary operations. A quote that doesn't move when steel falls 15% isn't automatically wrong.

Use them to ask better questions. "Which tier of P20?" is a question that changes a quote. "Domestic or imported S136?" is another. When a supplier can answer specifically, you're dealing with someone who knows their own cost structure.

Watch the direction, not just the level. The quarter-over-quarter movement tells you whether a price increase you've just been handed reflects the market or reflects the supplier.

About the source

The figures come from SunOn Manufacturer Group — mold making, injection molding and die casting, in the Pearl River Delta. Mountain Xie owns the group. He has spent 30+ years in hardware design and manufacturing management for century-old European and American brands: 366 projects, 50 million units, 60+ countries.

He publishes this index because the information asymmetry between Western founders and Chinese factories is the single most expensive thing in early hardware manufacturing — and most of it is preventable with a reference price.

Get the Q4 index when it publishes

The next edition lands in October with fresh procurement numbers. It goes to the monthly manufacturing brief first — along with the free Starter Kit, which includes how to read a mold quote line by line.

Get the free Starter Kit →

Or bring a quote you can't read to a free 15-minute call.